{"id":35460,"date":"2025-07-08T13:20:13","date_gmt":"2025-07-08T11:20:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/telomere.ch\/?p=35460"},"modified":"2025-09-19T12:13:41","modified_gmt":"2025-09-19T10:13:41","slug":"market-update-july-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/telomere.ch\/en\/market-update-july-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Market Update \u2013 July 2025"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>[et_pb_section fb_built=&#8221;1&#8243; _builder_version=&#8221;4.16&#8243; custom_margin=&#8221;||-9px|||&#8221; custom_padding=&#8221;8px||2px|||&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;][et_pb_row _builder_version=&#8221;4.27.2&#8243; background_size=&#8221;initial&#8221; background_position=&#8221;top_left&#8221; background_repeat=&#8221;repeat&#8221; min_height=&#8221;1116.2px&#8221; custom_margin=&#8221;-4px|auto|-4px|auto|true|false&#8221; custom_margin_tablet=&#8221;-4px|auto|-4px|auto|true|false&#8221; custom_margin_phone=&#8221;-4px|auto|-4px|auto|true|false&#8221; custom_margin_last_edited=&#8221;on|desktop&#8221; custom_padding=&#8221;5px|0px|15px|0px|false|false&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;][et_pb_column type=&#8221;4_4&#8243; _builder_version=&#8221;4.16&#8243; custom_padding=&#8221;|||&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221; custom_padding__hover=&#8221;|||&#8221;][et_pb_image src=&#8221;https:\/\/telomere.ch\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/Market_Update_JULY_ANG_1600_1000.jpg&#8221; alt=&#8221;green grass field with trees and mountains in the distance&#8221; title_text=&#8221;Market_Update_JULY_ANG_1600_1000&#8243; align=&#8221;center&#8221; src_tablet=&#8221;https:\/\/telomere.ch\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/Market_Update_JULY_ANG_1600_1000.jpg&#8221; src_phone=&#8221;https:\/\/telomere.ch\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/Market_Update_JULY_ANG_1600_1000.jpg&#8221; src_last_edited=&#8221;on|phone&#8221; _builder_version=&#8221;4.27.4&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; min_height=&#8221;100px&#8221; custom_margin=&#8221;||36px|||&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;][\/et_pb_image][et_pb_text _builder_version=&#8221;4.27.0&#8243; text_font=&#8221;Roboto|300|||||||&#8221; text_text_color=&#8221;#6F757D&#8221; text_font_size=&#8221;59px&#8221; text_line_height=&#8221;1em&#8221; header_font=&#8221;|700|||||||&#8221; header_font_size=&#8221;58px&#8221; header_line_height=&#8221;1.1em&#8221; background_size=&#8221;initial&#8221; background_position=&#8221;top_left&#8221; background_repeat=&#8221;repeat&#8221; min_height=&#8221;48px&#8221; custom_margin=&#8221;||2px||false|false&#8221; custom_padding=&#8221;||15px|||&#8221; text_font_size_tablet=&#8221;45px&#8221; text_font_size_phone=&#8221;35px&#8221; text_font_size_last_edited=&#8221;on|phone&#8221; header_font_size_tablet=&#8221;57px&#8221; header_font_size_phone=&#8221;36px&#8221; header_font_size_last_edited=&#8221;on|desktop&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;]<\/p>\n<p>Editorial<\/p>\n<p>[\/et_pb_text][dnxte_button button_text=&#8221;Download the PDF Market Update&#8221; button_link=&#8221;@ET-DC@eyJkeW5hbWljIjp0cnVlLCJjb250ZW50IjoicG9zdF9saW5rX3VybF9hdHRhY2htZW50Iiwic2V0dGluZ3MiOnsicG9zdF9pZCI6IjM1NDU5In19@&#8221; button_link_new_window=&#8221;on&#8221; dnxt_button_alignment=&#8221;center&#8221; btn_icon=&#8221;&#x4c;||divi||400&#8243; btn_icon_color=&#8221;#FFFFFF&#8221; dnxt_hover_bg=&#8221;dnxt-hover-sweep-to-right&#8221; dnxt_hover_bg_color=&#8221;rgba(98,140,224,0.37)&#8221; dnxt_button_alignment_tablet=&#8221;center&#8221; dnxt_button_alignment_phone=&#8221;center&#8221; dnxt_button_alignment_last_edited=&#8221;on|desktop&#8221; _builder_version=&#8221;4.27.4&#8243; _dynamic_attributes=&#8221;button_link&#8221; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; btn_fonts_font=&#8221;Inter|||on|||||&#8221; btn_fonts_text_color=&#8221;#000000&#8243; btn_fonts_font_size=&#8221;14px&#8221; btn_fonts_letter_spacing=&#8221;3px&#8221; min_height=&#8221;41.2px&#8221; custom_margin=&#8221;14px||||false|false&#8221; custom_padding=&#8221;1px|||||&#8221; border_radii_btn_border=&#8221;on|0px|0px|0px|0px&#8221; border_width_top_btn_border=&#8221;0px&#8221; border_width_right_btn_border=&#8221;0px&#8221; border_color_bottom_btn_border=&#8221;#3f3f3f&#8221; border_width_left_btn_border=&#8221;0px&#8221; border_color_left_btn_border=&#8221;#000000&#8243; locked=&#8221;off&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221; btn_fonts_text_color__hover_enabled=&#8221;off|desktop&#8221; btn_fonts_text_color__hover=&#8221;#FFFFFF&#8221;][\/dnxte_button][et_pb_text content_tablet=&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>June was anything but quiet, yet markets chose to look through the noise. Global equities added another 4-5% for the month, pushing the MSCI ACWI to a double-digit gain year-to-date even as headline volatility spiked around Middle-East tensions. Credit spreads compressed and liquidity remained ample, underscoring that financial conditions are looser than the policy debate would suggest.  <\/p>\n<p>Under the surface, the macro picture keeps evolving. Disinflation is gathering pace across most developed economies while the Fed stays on hold at 4.50%, opting to monitor the knock-on effects of shifting tariffs. In contrast, the SNB and ECB have already trimmed rates, signaling a tentative turn toward easier policy in Europe. Growth remains resilient, just resilient enough, helping earnings expectations stabilize despite soft manufacturing surveys.   <\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile the \u201cAmerica First \u2013 Dollar Second\u201d narrative is gaining traction. The US dollar lost nearly 10% this year before briefly bouncing on the Iran scare, only to resume its slide as fiscal risk stole the spotlight. Commodities told their own roller-coaster story: the price of oil spiked past $80 on the initial headlines and then closed the month below $70, while gold set fresh highs above $3\u2019300 as investors hunted for hedges.  <\/p>\n<p>We hope you enjoy reading and find these updates helpful for the month ahead.<\/p>\n<p>&#8221; content_phone=&#8221;<\/p>\n<p style=%22text-align: left;%22>June was anything but quiet, yet markets chose to look through the noise. Global equities added another 4-5% for the month, pushing the MSCI ACWI to a double-digit gain year-to-date even as headline volatility spiked around Middle-East tensions. Credit spreads compressed and liquidity remained ample, underscoring that financial conditions are looser than the policy debate would suggest.  <\/p>\n<p style=%22text-align: left;%22>Under the surface, the macro picture keeps evolving. Disinflation is gathering pace across most developed economies while the Fed stays on hold at 4.50%, opting to monitor the knock-on effects of shifting tariffs. In contrast, the SNB and ECB have already trimmed rates, signaling a tentative turn toward easier policy in Europe. Growth remains resilient, just resilient enough, helping earnings expectations stabilize despite soft manufacturing surveys.   <\/p>\n<p style=%22text-align: left;%22>Meanwhile the \u201cAmerica First \u2013 Dollar Second\u201d narrative is gaining traction. The US dollar lost nearly 10% this year before briefly bouncing on the Iran scare, only to resume its slide as fiscal risk stole the spotlight. Commodities told their own roller-coaster story: the price of oil spiked past $80 on the initial headlines and then closed the month below $70, while gold set fresh highs above $3\u2019300 as investors hunted for hedges.  <\/p>\n<p style=%22text-align: left;%22>We hope you enjoy reading and find these updates helpful for the month ahead.<\/p>\n<p>&#8221; content_last_edited=&#8221;on|phone&#8221; _builder_version=&#8221;4.27.4&#8243; text_font=&#8221;|300|||||||&#8221; text_text_color=&#8221;#6F757D&#8221; text_font_size=&#8221;21px&#8221; text_line_height=&#8221;1.4em&#8221; background_size=&#8221;initial&#8221; background_position=&#8221;top_left&#8221; background_repeat=&#8221;repeat&#8221; text_orientation=&#8221;justified&#8221; min_height=&#8221;377.2px&#8221; custom_margin=&#8221;||16px|||&#8221; custom_padding=&#8221;||0px|||&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;]<\/p>\n<p>June was anything but quiet, yet markets chose to look through the noise. Global equities added another 4-5% for the month, pushing the MSCI ACWI to a double-digit gain year-to-date even as headline volatility spiked around Middle-East tensions. Credit spreads compressed and liquidity remained ample, underscoring that financial conditions are looser than the policy debate would suggest.  <\/p>\n<p>Under the surface, the macro picture keeps evolving. Disinflation is gathering pace across most developed economies while the Fed stays on hold at 4.50%, opting to monitor the knock-on effects of shifting tariffs. In contrast, the SNB and ECB have already trimmed rates, signaling a tentative turn toward easier policy in Europe. Growth remains resilient, just resilient enough, helping earnings expectations stabilize despite soft manufacturing surveys.   <\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile the \u201cAmerica First \u2013 Dollar Second\u201d narrative is gaining traction. The US dollar lost nearly 10% this year before briefly bouncing on the Iran scare, only to resume its slide as fiscal risk stole the spotlight. Commodities told their own roller-coaster story: the price of oil spiked past $80 on the initial headlines and then closed the month below $70, while gold set fresh highs above $3\u2019300 as investors hunted for hedges.  <\/p>\n<p>We hope you enjoy reading and find these updates helpful for the month ahead.<\/p>\n<p>[\/et_pb_text][\/et_pb_column][\/et_pb_row][et_pb_row column_structure=&#8221;1_3,1_3,1_3&#8243; _builder_version=&#8221;4.27.2&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; transform_scale_tablet=&#8221;&#8221; transform_scale_phone=&#8221;&#8221; transform_scale_last_edited=&#8221;on|phone&#8221; transform_translate_tablet=&#8221;&#8221; transform_translate_phone=&#8221;-71px|0px&#8221; transform_translate_last_edited=&#8221;on|desktop&#8221; transform_rotate_tablet=&#8221;&#8221; transform_rotate_phone=&#8221;&#8221; transform_rotate_last_edited=&#8221;on|phone&#8221; transform_skew_tablet=&#8221;&#8221; transform_skew_phone=&#8221;&#8221; transform_skew_last_edited=&#8221;on|phone&#8221; 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